Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Junior 28/9/2015 Hand 7

Board 7
South Deals
Both Vul
6 5 3
A 3
10 6 3 2
J 8 6 4
K 8 2
9 2
A J 8 7 5 4
A K
N
WE
S
Q J
K Q J 8 6 5
K Q
9 5 3
A 10 9 7 4
10 7 4
9
Q 10 7 2

EW 4N; EW 4; EW 5; EW 1; EW 1; Par −630

WestNorthEastSouth
   Pass
1 Pass1 Pass
1 NTPass3 Pass
3 NTPassPassPass
3 NT by West
Lead:  J
Made 4 — EW +630

2 comments:

  1. At teams partnership should probably play 4H. While West's 1NT rebid is "offshape" it is a good bid, better than the alternative 3D. East should consider a slam invite, but reject it and just bid 4H. Consider a "perfect minimum" SK, HA, DA, CA - there appears to be the SA loser plus 2 club losers (which may of course find a home if pard has suitable shape etc).

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  2. What to lead. The CJ looks odd and could cost a trick. There is a bias towards the unbid major on such hands. Indeed, DDA shows this with a 0.1 av. trick advantage over the next best (for MPs) and a 2% advantage over the next best (low club), with a 8% advantage over the other suits. The CJ was about 6% worse than a low club.

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